Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 129.595444 142.281394 155.263505 169.517821 184.704689 200.377220 217.749024
2024-12-15 105.829096 124.433336 144.395032 167.301208 192.753112 220.062031 251.472605
2024-12-22 92.793490 114.611560 138.818146 167.449790 200.170009 236.180840 278.588824
2024-12-29 85.765917 110.335035 138.349540 172.298376 211.960130 256.474147 309.842834
2025-01-05 78.471922 104.850887 135.695847 173.903159 219.424305 271.399678 334.687147
2025-01-12 71.966023 99.648813 132.786359 174.666252 225.454660 284.338727 357.024547
2025-01-19 64.247634 92.295077 126.682994 171.029552 225.761950 290.177298 370.750464
2025-01-26 61.533310 91.021308 127.864648 176.129205 236.505534 308.377192 399.177297
2025-02-02 58.341226 88.852272 127.691738 179.356288 244.832362 323.628699 424.123611
2025-02-09 54.665335 85.762618 126.101429 180.586507 250.530108 335.605420 445.110567
2025-02-16 52.983995 85.239549 127.748329 185.897373 261.337604 353.900881 473.935610
2025-02-23 50.279950 83.105656 127.103412 188.101668 268.119464 367.192152 496.662107
2025-03-02 46.430058 79.188252 123.958511 186.981968 270.694546 375.396374 513.399070
2025-03-09 43.230196 76.017980 121.678610 186.897376 274.552561 385.229819 532.275146
2025-03-16 40.316138 73.068022 119.526700 186.827333 278.309137 394.865742 550.894409
2025-03-23 39.311793 72.928079 121.290491 192.101481 289.176672 413.696793 581.322374
2025-03-30 37.313206 71.122090 120.560346 193.836382 295.264776 426.362534 603.956417
2025-04-06 35.201428 68.999063 119.251768 194.662593 300.062915 437.333481 624.455370
2025-04-13 31.948851 64.826586 114.720941 190.725513 298.199953 439.446027 633.419960
2025-04-20 31.413547 65.074375 116.781531 196.245861 309.379238 458.846598 664.991903
2025-04-27 30.392515 64.441374 117.458863 199.737418 317.757666 474.582807 691.889917
2025-05-04 28.905154 62.920401 116.697805 201.068112 323.093912 486.272344 713.543773
2025-05-11 28.544238 63.325214 118.916734 206.810578 334.678390 506.433599 746.511544